What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Eritrea

(xG) 1.08 - 0.50

Kenya

Mathematical Predictions: Eritrea vs Kenya

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 78.77% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Eritrea Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Eritrea
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Kenya Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Kenya
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Eritrea vs Kenya

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-24T19:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Eritrea scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Kenya 1.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Eritrea scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 2.50, whereas Kenya scored 0.00 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Eritrea vs Kenya match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.08 for Eritrea and 0.50 for Kenya. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.77%.

H2H - Eritrea vs. Kenya

24 Mar 27

Eritrea

(HT -)

Kenya

26 Sep 26

Kenya

1 - 1

(HT 0-1)

Eritrea

Team Form (Last 6)

Eritrea

28 May vs Niger 0-1

25 Mar vs Eswatini 2-0

31 Mar @ Eswatini 1-2

26 Sep @ Kenya 1-1

30 Sep vs South Africa 0-5

Kenya

14 Nov vs Equatorial Guinea 0-1

18 Nov @ Senegal 8-0

04 Jun @ Lesotho 1-1

07 Jun vs Lesotho 4-0

26 Sep vs Eritrea 1-1

01 Oct @ Guinea 1-0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.